There were two main news items on the emissions trading front this week:
1) Yesterday the Climate Institute released a study showing that the emissions trading Bill currently before parliament would create a jobs boom, with 26,500 jobs already planned nationwide. Chief executive John Connor said “it’s time the polluters and politicians stopped arguing about climate action policies so we can get to work building these projects and their jobs.”
2) Today the Opposition leader Malcolm Turnbull announced that the Liberal-National Coalition would try to postpone a vote on the ETS legislation until 2010. Turnbull said, “Common-sense and prudence, the importance of getting this right, of pursuing a practical outcome that is effective for the environment and does not destroy jobs, demands that the decision on the scheme and the final design of the scheme should be postponed until after Copenhagen [in December].”
Turnbull then offered bipartisan support of 25% emission cuts by 2020. According to Turnbull, “This enables Mr Rudd to go to Copenhagen in the knowledge that the entire Parliament, at least the Government and the Opposition, support the targets he is taking there.”
However, this doesn’t seem like much of a bargaining chip without any legislation in place.
The Greens do not support the bill, and they do not support a delay in the vote. They want to go back to the drawing board.
Once again, the clear loser in this mess is the business investor, and particularly the cleantech investor, who must now contend with additional uncertainty in carbon costs, timing, and even the fundamentals of the scheme design.